The FIBA Under-17 Basketball World Cup showcases elite youth talent and shapes international basketball's future. This study identified game-related performance indicators differentiating winning from losing teams in different (Group, Second, and Final) rounds of the Under-17 Men World Cup. Data from 122 games across two consecutive Under-17 Men World Cups (Malaga 2022, Istanbul 2024) were analysed, classifying matches as closed, balanced, or unbalanced based on final score differences. Descriptive statistics quantified performance differences, while linear discriminant analysis identified key predictors of game outcomes. In the group stage, first-quarter scoring consistently predicted victory across all game types. Closed games were primarily influenced by three-point field goals made and assists, while balanced games were determined by defensive rebounds and turnovers. Second-round analysis revealed different predictors: points from turnovers in closed games, bench scoring in balanced games, and points from the paint in unbalanced games. The final round showed that points scored in the first and fourth quarters, alongside fast-break points, were consistent predictors regardless of game classification. These findings provide valuable insights for coaches developing tournament preparation strategies. Understanding how different performance indicators influence game outcomes across tournament rounds, enables tactical adjustments that maximize success probability in international youth basketball competitions.
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