Predicting try scoring in super 14 rugby union - the development of a superior attacking team scoring system

The aim of this study was to determine if consecutive periods of attacking superiority, as determined by a developed Team Attacking Superiority (TAS) scoring system, could predict try scoring in Super 14 rugby. Game data from 9 games where the Crusaders, Force and Lions played each other in the 2006, 2007 and 2008 competition seasons were analysed. A Player Impact Ranking matrix, developed in an earlier study (Lim et al., 2009), was modified to create a Team Impact Ranking (TIR) matrix. The TIR was then used to calculate the TAS scores to assess consecutive periods of attacking dominance by a team. Results showed that 67% of tries scored resulted from teams maintaining 3 consecutive TAS periods or less. Although the majority of tries scored were from </= 3 consecutive TAS periods, odd ratios revealed that teams were 11.76 times more likely to convert TAS periods into tries scored if they were able to attain 4 or more TAS periods.
© Copyright 2011 International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport. Taylor & Francis. All rights reserved.

Bibliographic Details
Subjects:
Notations:sport games
Published in:International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport
Language:English
Published: 2011
Online Access:http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/uwic/ujpa/2011/00000011/00000003/art00007
Volume:11
Issue:3
Pages:464-475
Document types:article
Level:advanced