Predicting try scoring in super 14 rugby union - the development of a superior attacking team scoring system
The aim of this study was to determine if consecutive periods of attacking superiority, as determined by a developed Team Attacking Superiority (TAS) scoring system, could predict try scoring in Super 14 rugby. Game data from 9 games where the Crusaders, Force and Lions played each other in the 2006, 2007 and 2008 competition seasons were analysed. A Player Impact Ranking matrix, developed in an earlier study (Lim et al., 2009), was modified to create a Team Impact Ranking (TIR) matrix. The TIR was then used to calculate the TAS scores to assess consecutive periods of attacking dominance by a team. Results showed that 67% of tries scored resulted from teams maintaining 3 consecutive TAS periods or less. Although the majority of tries scored were from </= 3 consecutive TAS periods, odd ratios revealed that teams were 11.76 times more likely to convert TAS periods into tries scored if they were able to attain 4 or more TAS periods.
© Copyright 2011 International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport. Taylor & Francis. All rights reserved.
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| Notations: | sport games |
| Published in: | International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2011
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| Online Access: | http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/uwic/ujpa/2011/00000011/00000003/art00007 |
| Volume: | 11 |
| Issue: | 3 |
| Pages: | 464-475 |
| Document types: | article |
| Level: | advanced |