The trade secret taboo: Open science methods are required to improve prediction models in sports medicine and performance

Clinical prediction models in sports medicine that utilize regression or machine learning techniques have become more widely published, used, and disseminated. However, these models are typically characterized by poor methodology and incomplete reporting, and an inadequate evaluation of performance, leading to unreliable predictions and weak clinical utility within their intended sport population. Before implementation in practice, models require a thorough evaluation. Strong replicable methods and transparency reporting allow practitioners and researchers to make independent judgments as to the model`s validity, performance, clinical usefulness, and confidence it will do no harm. However, this is not reflected in the sports medicine literature. As shown in a recent systematic review of models for predicting sports injury models, most were typically characterized by poor methodology, incomplete reporting, and inadequate performance evaluation. Because of constraints imposed by data from individual teams, the development of accurate, reliable, and useful models is highly reliant on external validation. However, a barrier to collaboration is a desire to maintain a competitive advantage; a team`s proprietary information is often perceived as high value, and so these `trade secrets` are frequently guarded. These `trade secrets` also apply to commercially available models, as developers are unwilling to share proprietary (and potentially profitable) development and validation information. In this Current Opinion, we: (1) argue that open science is essential for improving sport prediction models and (2) critically examine sport prediction models for open science practices.
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Bibliographic Details
Subjects:
Notations:biological and medical sciences training science
Tagging:Regressionsanalyse maschinelles Lernen
Published in:Sports Medicine
Language:English
Published: 2023
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s40279-023-01849-6
Volume:53
Issue:10
Pages:1841-1849
Document types:article
Level:advanced