Evaluating the ability of goalkeepers in English Premier League football
This paper examines the performance of goalkeepers in the English Premier League. A commonly used metric to assess goalkeeper ability is the saves-to-shots ratio. It is shown that goalkeepers playing in weak teams have to defend against on-target shots that have a relatively high probability of scoring as compared to their counterparts in higher-performing teams. This tends to produce a downwards bias in the save-to-shots ratio of goalkeepers in weak teams, an effect which may lead to their ability being underestimated. A logistic regression model is used to adjust goalkeepers` saves-to-shots ratios for differences in save difficulty. The adjusted ratio is more stable across seasons, suggesting that it is a more reliable estimate of true goalkeeper ability than the unadjusted ratio.
© Copyright 2014 Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. de Gruyter. All rights reserved.
| Subjects: | |
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| Notations: | sport games |
| Tagging: | Torwart |
| Published in: | Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2014
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| Online Access: | http://doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2014-0004 |
| Volume: | 10 |
| Issue: | 2 |
| Pages: | 279-186 |
| Document types: | article |
| Level: | advanced |