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Evaluating the ability of goalkeepers in English Premier League football

This paper examines the performance of goalkeepers in the English Premier League. A commonly used metric to assess goalkeeper ability is the saves-to-shots ratio. It is shown that goalkeepers playing in weak teams have to defend against on-target shots that have a relatively high probability of scoring as compared to their counterparts in higher-performing teams. This tends to produce a downwards bias in the save-to-shots ratio of goalkeepers in weak teams, an effect which may lead to their ability being underestimated. A logistic regression model is used to adjust goalkeepers` saves-to-shots ratios for differences in save difficulty. The adjusted ratio is more stable across seasons, suggesting that it is a more reliable estimate of true goalkeeper ability than the unadjusted ratio.
© Copyright 2014 Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. de Gruyter. All rights reserved.

Bibliographic Details
Subjects:
Notations:sport games
Tagging:Torwart
Published in:Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports
Language:English
Published: 2014
Online Access:http://doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2014-0004
Volume:10
Issue:2
Pages:279-186
Document types:article
Level:advanced