Improving Tour de France modeling with allometric scaling
We describe improvements we have made to the model our research group employs to predict stage-winning times of the Tour de France. Accounting for different stage-winning cyclist masses associated with different stage types, we use allometric scaling to modify our model`s cyclist power output. We show definitively that such a change to our model improved our prediction capabilities over what we were able to predict using the model we employed for the 2013 Tour de France. Excluding three tailwind-dominated stages, where our worst error was 7.79%, we predicted all other stages to better than 5%, including five stages that we predicted to better than 1%. We also show how to improve our model further with a different type of scaling.
Artikel auf ResearchGate:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/273186939_Improving_Tour_de_France_modeling_with_allometric_scaling
© Copyright 2015 Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology. SAGE Publications. All rights reserved.
| Subjects: | |
|---|---|
| Notations: | technical and natural sciences endurance sports organisations and events |
| Tagging: | Tour de France |
| Published in: | Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2015
|
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1177/1754337114565384 |
| Volume: | 229 |
| Issue: | 3 |
| Pages: | 183-191 |
| Document types: | article |
| Level: | advanced |