Improving Tour de France modeling with allometric scaling

We describe improvements we have made to the model our research group employs to predict stage-winning times of the Tour de France. Accounting for different stage-winning cyclist masses associated with different stage types, we use allometric scaling to modify our model`s cyclist power output. We show definitively that such a change to our model improved our prediction capabilities over what we were able to predict using the model we employed for the 2013 Tour de France. Excluding three tailwind-dominated stages, where our worst error was 7.79%, we predicted all other stages to better than 5%, including five stages that we predicted to better than 1%. We also show how to improve our model further with a different type of scaling. Artikel auf ResearchGate: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/273186939_Improving_Tour_de_France_modeling_with_allometric_scaling
© Copyright 2015 Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology. SAGE Publications. All rights reserved.

Bibliographic Details
Subjects:
Notations:technical and natural sciences endurance sports organisations and events
Tagging:Tour de France
Published in:Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology
Language:English
Published: 2015
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/1754337114565384
Volume:229
Issue:3
Pages:183-191
Document types:article
Level:advanced